Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1.541196 1.761628 2.002603 2.285629 2.609027 2.967136 3.393939
2024-12-29 1.199553 1.497259 1.852249 2.306962 2.874432 3.559974 4.452266
2025-01-05 0.983444 1.303738 1.709069 2.260089 2.990668 3.927674 5.223541
2025-01-12 0.830186 1.156228 1.589433 2.207801 3.069448 4.230216 5.917688
2025-01-19 0.708509 1.029829 1.475156 2.138303 3.103052 4.459344 6.518449
2025-01-26 0.671901 1.014950 1.508817 2.272870 3.428529 5.117015 7.782969
2025-02-02 0.640843 1.002694 1.542047 2.406130 3.760474 5.810280 9.165151
2025-02-09 0.605207 0.978250 1.552445 2.502580 4.041740 6.448637 10.521459
2025-02-16 0.561880 0.936203 1.529906 2.542437 4.234000 6.961233 11.722236
2025-02-23 0.507246 0.869575 1.460644 2.497662 4.280994 7.239833 12.558770
2025-03-02 0.464279 0.817714 1.409875 2.477168 4.363730 7.580368 13.526233
2025-03-09 0.431659 0.780110 1.378979 2.486468 4.496163 8.013158 14.689829
2025-03-16 0.401027 0.743798 1.348204 2.495255 4.632552 8.472343 15.960458
2025-03-23 0.375158 0.713642 1.325599 2.516702 4.794150 8.991966 17.396194
2025-03-30 0.342075 0.666606 1.267497 2.465624 4.813713 9.249026 18.354575
2025-04-06 0.311832 0.621949 1.209488 2.408536 4.814942 9.468952 19.257711
2025-04-13 0.282543 0.576282 1.145239 2.332667 4.770990 9.595293 19.982204
2025-04-20 0.281126 0.586257 1.190388 2.479573 5.187760 10.668478 22.745960
2025-04-27 0.279126 0.594753 1.233111 2.625058 5.614429 11.798484 25.737000
2025-05-04 0.272841 0.593599 1.255837 2.730360 5.965562 12.802043 28.552043
2025-05-11 0.261032 0.579460 1.250114 2.773875 6.187051 13.549632 30.874987
2025-05-18 0.242005 0.547753 1.204181 2.724991 6.200274 13.847214 32.213674
2025-05-25 0.226799 0.523175 1.171541 2.702615 6.270425 14.275114 33.890042